Value bet: Santa Cruz FC to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultQuepos Cambute to win ✓45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.11
Santa Cruz FC vs Quepos Cambute preview and prediction
The match
The Liga De Ascenso sees Santa Cruz FC take on Quepos Cambute on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT). Santa Cruz FC are 14th with 6 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Quepos Cambute sit 10th on 19 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Santa Cruz FC's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat AD Sarchí 4–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Quepos Cambute's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to ADR Jicaral 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Quepos Cambute arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 August 2026, finished Quepos Cambute 4–0 Santa Cruz FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Santa Cruz FC and 1.6 for Quepos Cambute. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santa Cruz FC 35%, draw 21%, Quepos Cambute 45%.
Value angle: Santa Cruz FC to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 56% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Santa Cruz FC 1–2 Quepos Cambute. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santa Cruz FC35%fair 2.90 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.40
Quepos Cambute45%fair 2.23 · @2.00
3.04Expected goals
1.40Santa Cruz FC xG
1.64Quepos Cambute xG
53%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Santa Cruz FC 1.4 – 1.6 Quepos Cambute expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Santa Cruz FC vs Quepos Cambute?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Santa Cruz FC vs Quepos Cambute?
On our numbers Santa Cruz FC have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Quepos Cambute 45%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Cruz FC vs Quepos Cambute?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Cruz FC vs Quepos Cambute?
Our predicted score is Santa Cruz FC 1–2 Quepos Cambute, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Santa Cruz FC vs Quepos Cambute?
Santa Cruz FC vs Quepos Cambute (Liga De Ascenso) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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