Value bet: CS Uruguay to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAD Carmelita to win ✓39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.01
AD Carmelita vs CS Uruguay preview and prediction
The match
CS Uruguay travel to face AD Carmelita in the Liga De Ascenso on Friday 18 September (22:00 WAT). AD Carmelita are 11th with 16 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while CS Uruguay sit 12th on 9 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
AD Carmelita's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Cariari Pococi 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
CS Uruguay's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Aserri FC 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 August 2026, finished CS Uruguay 2–2 AD Carmelita.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for AD Carmelita and 1.3 for CS Uruguay. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AD Carmelita 39%, draw 23%, CS Uruguay 38%.
Value angle: CS Uruguay to win at 3.00 – 38% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 51% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: AD Carmelita 2–1 CS Uruguay. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AD Carmelita39%fair 2.54 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
CS Uruguay38%fair 2.65 · @3.00
2.64Expected goals
1.34AD Carmelita xG
1.30CS Uruguay xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: AD Carmelita 1.3 – 1.3 CS Uruguay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for AD Carmelita vs CS Uruguay?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win AD Carmelita vs CS Uruguay?
On our numbers AD Carmelita have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CS Uruguay 38%.
How many goals will there be in AD Carmelita vs CS Uruguay?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Carmelita vs CS Uruguay?
Our predicted score is AD Carmelita 2–1 CS Uruguay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is AD Carmelita vs CS Uruguay?
AD Carmelita vs CS Uruguay (Liga De Ascenso) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
