Cariari Pococi vs AD Carmelita prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Cariari Pococi to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCariari Pococi to win ✗64% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 14.88
Cariari Pococi vs AD Carmelita preview and prediction
The match
The Liga De Ascenso sees Cariari Pococi take on AD Carmelita on Monday 14 September, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT). Cariari Pococi are 5th with 22 points from 14 games (in the top half), while AD Carmelita sit 11th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Cariari Pococi's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Aserri FC 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
AD Carmelita's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC 1–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Cariari Pococi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 March 2026, finished Cariari Pococi 2–1 AD Carmelita.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Cariari Pococi and 0.9 for AD Carmelita. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cariari Pococi 64%, draw 15%, AD Carmelita 22%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cariari Pococi to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cariari Pococi 1–0 AD Carmelita. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cariari Pococi64%fair 1.57 · @1.83
Draw15%fair 6.85 · @3.50
AD Carmelita22%fair 4.61 · @3.40
2.83Expected goals
1.90Cariari Pococi xG
0.93AD Carmelita xG
49%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Cariari Pococi 1.9 – 0.9 AD Carmelita expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cariari Pococi vs AD Carmelita?
Our pick is Cariari Pococi to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Cariari Pococi vs AD Carmelita?
On our numbers Cariari Pococi have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 15% and AD Carmelita 22%.
How many goals will there be in Cariari Pococi vs AD Carmelita?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cariari Pococi vs AD Carmelita?
Our predicted score is Cariari Pococi 1–0 AD Carmelita, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cariari Pococi vs AD Carmelita?
Cariari Pococi vs AD Carmelita (Liga De Ascenso) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
