Value bet: Municipal Grecia to win @ 2.30 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMunicipal Grecia to win ✗47% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.86
Aserri FC vs Municipal Grecia preview and prediction
The match
The Liga De Ascenso sees Aserri FC take on Municipal Grecia on Monday 24 August, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Aserri FC's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Municipal Grecia's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Santa Cruz FC 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Aserri FC and 1.3 for Municipal Grecia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 46%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aserri FC 33%, draw 20%, Municipal Grecia 47%.
Value angle: Municipal Grecia to win at 2.30 – 47% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.84, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Aserri FC 1–1 Municipal Grecia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aserri FC33%fair 3.07 · @2.55
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.50
Municipal Grecia47%fair 2.12 · @2.30
2.34Expected goals
1.02Aserri FC xG
1.32Municipal Grecia xG
46%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Aserri FC 1.0 – 1.3 Municipal Grecia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Municipal Grecia to win✗
47%
2.12
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Municipal Grecia / FT Municipal Grecia✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.86
–
Form
Aserri FC – last 6
DLWLLD
22 Aug
vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Quepos Cambute
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Guadalupe FC
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ Santa Ana
0–1
L
31 Jul
vs ADR Jicaral
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs AD Carmelita
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Municipal Grecia – last 6
WWLDDL
16 Aug
@ Santa Cruz FC
2–1
W
9 Aug
vs Quepos Cambute
2–0
W
31 Mar
@ Inter San Carlos
1–3
L
26 Mar
vs AD Cofutpa
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ ADR Jicaral
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Santa Cruz FC
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aserri FC and Municipal Grecia.
What is the prediction for Aserri FC vs Municipal Grecia?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Aserri FC vs Municipal Grecia?
On our numbers Aserri FC have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Municipal Grecia 47%.
How many goals will there be in Aserri FC vs Municipal Grecia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aserri FC vs Municipal Grecia?
Our predicted score is Aserri FC 1–1 Municipal Grecia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Aserri FC vs Municipal Grecia?
Aserri FC vs Municipal Grecia (Liga De Ascenso) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
