Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanta Ana to win ✓61% · @1.73
Double chanceSanta Ana or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.91
AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana preview and prediction
The match
AD Carmelita host Santa Ana in the Liga De Ascenso on Sunday 9 August, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT). AD Carmelita are 11th with 16 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Santa Ana sit 3rd on 27 points (in the top four).
Form guide
AD Carmelita's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with CS Uruguay 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Santa Ana's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Aserri FC 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 February 2026, finished AD Carmelita 1–2 Santa Ana.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for AD Carmelita and 1.8 for Santa Ana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AD Carmelita 18%, draw 21%, Santa Ana 61%.
Safer route: Santa Ana or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Santa Ana to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: AD Carmelita 0–1 Santa Ana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AD Carmelita18%fair 5.68 · @3.80
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.60
Santa Ana61%fair 1.63 · @1.73
2.67Expected goals
0.85AD Carmelita xG
1.82Santa Ana xG
44%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: AD Carmelita 0.8 – 1.8 Santa Ana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana?
Our pick is Santa Ana to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana?
On our numbers AD Carmelita have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Santa Ana 61%.
How many goals will there be in AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana?
Our predicted score is AD Carmelita 0–1 Santa Ana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana?
AD Carmelita vs Santa Ana (Liga De Ascenso) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
