Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCS Uruguay to win ✗65% · @1.75
Double chanceCS Uruguay or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.33
CS Uruguay vs AD Carmelita preview and prediction
The match
CS Uruguay host AD Carmelita in the Liga De Ascenso on Sunday 2 August, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT). CS Uruguay are 12th with 9 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while AD Carmelita sit 11th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
CS Uruguay's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
AD Carmelita's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Aserri FC 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AD Carmelita arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for CS Uruguay and 0.7 for AD Carmelita. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 43%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: CS Uruguay 65%, draw 20%, AD Carmelita 15%.
Safer route: CS Uruguay or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CS Uruguay to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: CS Uruguay 1–0 AD Carmelita. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CS Uruguay65%fair 1.54 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.40
AD Carmelita15%fair 6.64 · @3.80
2.62Expected goals
1.88CS Uruguay xG
0.74AD Carmelita xG
43%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: CS Uruguay 1.9 – 0.7 AD Carmelita expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CS Uruguay to win✗
65%
1.54
1.75 ▲
Double chance
CS Uruguay or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
CS Uruguay ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CS Uruguay / FT CS Uruguay✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.33
–
Form
CS Uruguay – last 6
LWLLDL
7 Apr
@ Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
1–3
L
29 Mar
vs Cariari Pococi
1–0
W
26 Mar
@ Escorpiones Belén
0–2
L
10 Mar
@ Aserri FC
0–1
L
4 Mar
@ Cariari Pococi
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
AD Carmelita – last 6
DDWLWL
31 Mar
@ Aserri FC
0–0
D
25 Mar
vs Futbol Consultants Moravia
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
1–0
W
12 Mar
@ Cariari Pococi
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Escorpiones Belén
2–0
W
25 Feb
vs Santa Ana
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CS Uruguay and AD Carmelita.
What is the prediction for CS Uruguay vs AD Carmelita?
Our pick is CS Uruguay to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win CS Uruguay vs AD Carmelita?
On our numbers CS Uruguay have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and AD Carmelita 15%.
How many goals will there be in CS Uruguay vs AD Carmelita?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CS Uruguay vs AD Carmelita?
Our predicted score is CS Uruguay 1–0 AD Carmelita, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is CS Uruguay vs AD Carmelita?
CS Uruguay vs AD Carmelita (Liga De Ascenso) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
