Serie A Women · Italy · Stadio Ennio TardiniParma W vs Ternana W prediction & analysis
Parma W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Parma W to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Parma W 1.2 – 0.3 Ternana W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Parma W are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 14% for Ternana W.
Parma W have taken 1 points from their last 6 matches (0W 1D 5L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 1.7 per game. Ternana W have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 1.5 goals (1.2 for Parma W, 0.3 for Ternana W). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (27%), 0–0 (22%), 2–0 (16%).
Our pick is Parma W or draw at a 86% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Parma W to win at 1.85 is our value angle (64% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Parma W to win ✗ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Parma W or draw ✗ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.25 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Under 1.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 93% | 1.07 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Parma W / FT Parma W ✗ | 35% | 2.90 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 27% | 3.75 | – |
Form
Parma W – last 6
| 26 Sep | @ Lazio W | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Napoli W | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | @ Lazio W | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Aug | vs Inter Milano W | 0–1 | L |
| 17 May | vs Juventus W | 1–3 | L |
| 10 May | @ AC Milan W | 1–3 | L |
Ternana W – last 6
| 27 Sep | vs Como W | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Sassuolo W | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | @ Fiorentina W | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Roma W | 0–2 | L |
| 17 May | vs AC Milan W | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | vs Sassuolo W | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parma W and Ternana W.
Serie A Women table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma W | 6 | +14 | 18 |
| 2 |  Inter Milano W | 6 | +13 | 16 |
| 3 |  Como 1907 W | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 4 |  Fiorentina W | 6 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  Juventus W | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| 6 |  Como W | 6 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Ternana W | 6 | -6 | 7 |
| 8 |  AC Milan W | 6 | -5 | 6 |
| 9 |  Napoli W | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 10 |  Parma W | 6 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 |  Lazio W | 6 | -6 | 3 |
| 12 |  Sassuolo W | 6 | -8 | 2 |
More Serie A Women predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Parma W vs Ternana W?
Our pick is Parma W or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Parma W vs Ternana W?
On our numbers Parma W have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ternana W 14%.
How many goals will there be in Parma W vs Ternana W?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
When is Parma W vs Ternana W?
Parma W vs Ternana W (Serie A Women) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.