Serie A Women · Italy · Curva Fiesole - Viola ParkFiorentina W vs Sassuolo W prediction & analysis
Fiorentina W to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Fiorentina W 2.1 – 0.9 Sassuolo W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Fiorentina W are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 17% for Sassuolo W.
Fiorentina W have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.5 per game. Sassuolo W have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.1 for Fiorentina W, 0.9 for Sassuolo W). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
In their last 2 meetings, Fiorentina W have won 1, Sassuolo W have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Fiorentina W to win at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.52.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Fiorentina W to win ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.44 |
| Double chance | Fiorentina W or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Fiorentina W ahead at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Fiorentina W / FT Fiorentina W ✓ | 42% | 2.39 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✓ | 11% | 9.19 | – |
Form
Fiorentina W – last 6
| 27 Sep | @ Inter Milano W | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Roma W | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Ternana W | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | vs Sassuolo W | 1–2 | L |
| 17 May | vs Lazio W | 2–1 | W |
| 3 May | vs Como W | 1–0 | W |
Sassuolo W – last 6
| 27 Sep | vs Roma W | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Roma W | 1–7 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Ternana W | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ Roma W | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | @ Fiorentina W | 2–1 | W |
| 17 May | @ Napoli W | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 23 Aug 2026 | Fiorentina W v Sassuolo W | 1–2 |
| 22 Feb 2026 | Fiorentina W v Sassuolo W | 3–2 |
Serie A Women table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma W | 6 | +14 | 18 |
| 2 |  Inter Milano W | 6 | +13 | 16 |
| 3 |  Como 1907 W | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 4 |  Fiorentina W | 6 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  Juventus W | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| 6 |  Como W | 6 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Ternana W | 6 | -6 | 7 |
| 8 |  AC Milan W | 6 | -5 | 6 |
| 9 |  Napoli W | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 10 |  Parma W | 6 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 |  Lazio W | 6 | -6 | 3 |
| 12 |  Sassuolo W | 6 | -8 | 2 |
More Serie A Women predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Fiorentina W vs Sassuolo W?
Our pick is Fiorentina W to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Fiorentina W vs Sassuolo W?
On our numbers Fiorentina W have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sassuolo W 17%.
How many goals will there be in Fiorentina W vs Sassuolo W?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Fiorentina W vs Sassuolo W?
Fiorentina W vs Sassuolo W (Serie A Women) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Curva Fiesole - Viola Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.