Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBoden to win ✗42% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.39
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.73
Boden vs Lucksta preview and prediction
The match
Lucksta travel to face Boden in the Division 2 Norrland on Saturday 17 October (14:00 WAT). Boden are 4th with 17 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Lucksta sit 3rd on 18 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Boden's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Täfteå 2–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Lucksta's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Skellefteå 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 August 2026, finished Lucksta 3–0 Boden.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.7 for Boden and 1.6 for Lucksta. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Boden 42%, draw 21%, Lucksta 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.39.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Boden 2–1 Lucksta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Boden42%fair 2.38 · @2.24
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.62
Lucksta37%fair 2.72 · @2.50
3.37Expected goals
1.75Boden xG
1.62Lucksta xG
67%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Boden 1.7 – 1.6 Lucksta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Boden vs Lucksta?
On our numbers Boden have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lucksta 37%.
How many goals will there be in Boden vs Lucksta?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boden vs Lucksta?
Our predicted score is Boden 2–1 Lucksta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Boden vs Lucksta?
Boden vs Lucksta (Division 2 Norrland) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
