Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIFK Luleå to win ✗65% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Boden vs IFK Luleå preview and prediction
The match
IFK Luleå travel to face Boden in the Division 2 Norrland on Wednesday 16 September (18:00 WAT). Boden are 4th with 17 points from 12 games (in the top four), while IFK Luleå sit 3rd on 25 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Boden's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Kubikenborg 1–6 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
IFK Luleå's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Täfteå 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 August 2026, finished IFK Luleå 0–1 Boden. Across their last 3 meetings Boden have won 1, IFK Luleå 1, with 1 draw and 2.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.1 for Boden and 2.1 for IFK Luleå. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Boden 22%, draw 12%, IFK Luleå 65%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was IFK Luleå to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Boden 1–2 IFK Luleå. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Boden22%fair 4.46 · @3.40
Draw12%fair 8.27 · @3.80
IFK Luleå65%fair 1.53 · @1.80
3.23Expected goals
1.09Boden xG
2.14IFK Luleå xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Boden 1.1 – 2.1 IFK Luleå expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is IFK Luleå to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Boden vs IFK Luleå?
On our numbers Boden have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 12% and IFK Luleå 65%.
How many goals will there be in Boden vs IFK Luleå?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boden vs IFK Luleå?
Our predicted score is Boden 1–2 IFK Luleå, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Boden vs IFK Luleå?
Boden vs IFK Luleå (Division 2 Norrland) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
