Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIFK Luleå to win ✗63% · @1.46
Double chanceIFK Luleå or draw ✗83% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
IFK Luleå vs Boden preview and prediction
The match
IFK Luleå host Boden in the Division 2 Norrland on Wednesday 12 August, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT). IFK Luleå are 3rd with 25 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Boden sit 4th on 17 points (in the top four).
Form guide
IFK Luleå's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Gottne 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Boden's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Täfteå 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
IFK Luleå arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 June 2026, finished Boden 1–4 IFK Luleå. Across their last 2 meetings IFK Luleå have won 1, Boden 0, with 1 draw and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for IFK Luleå and 1.1 for Boden. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: IFK Luleå 63%, draw 20%, Boden 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: IFK Luleå 2–1 Boden. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
IFK Luleå63%fair 1.59 · @1.46
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @4.30
Boden17%fair 5.80 · @5.10
3.24Expected goals
2.19IFK Luleå xG
1.06Boden xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: IFK Luleå 2.2 – 1.1 Boden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win IFK Luleå vs Boden?
On our numbers IFK Luleå have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Boden 17%.
How many goals will there be in IFK Luleå vs Boden?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IFK Luleå vs Boden?
Our predicted score is IFK Luleå 2–1 Boden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is IFK Luleå vs Boden?
IFK Luleå vs Boden (Division 2 Norrland) kicks off on Wednesday 12 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
