Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: IFK Luleå to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIFK Luleå to win ✓61% · @1.80
Double chanceIFK Luleå or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.42
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46
IFK Luleå vs IFK Östersund preview and prediction
The match
IFK Östersund travel to face IFK Luleå in the Division 2 Norrland on Saturday 1 August (12:00 WAT). IFK Luleå are 3rd with 25 points from 12 games (in the top four), while IFK Östersund sit 4th on 17 points (in the top four).
Form guide
IFK Luleå's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Skellefteå 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
IFK Östersund's last 5: DDWDL Most recently they drew with Umea FF 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.3 for IFK Luleå and 1.2 for IFK Östersund. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 67%.
Value angle: IFK Luleå to win at 1.80 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was IFK Luleå or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: IFK Luleå 2–1 IFK Östersund. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
IFK Luleå61%fair 1.65 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.75
IFK Östersund19%fair 5.26 · @3.55
3.51Expected goals
2.28IFK Luleå xG
1.23IFK Östersund xG
67%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: IFK Luleå 2.3 – 1.2 IFK Östersund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IFK Luleå to win✓
61%
1.65
1.80 ▲
Double chance
IFK Luleå or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.65
Half-time result
IFK Luleå ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IFK Luleå / FT IFK Luleå✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.46
–
Form
IFK Luleå – last 6
LWLWLD
27 Jun
vs Skellefteå
0–1
L
22 Jun
@ Boden
4–1
W
13 Jun
vs Storfors
0–1
L
30 May
vs IFK Umeå
6–1
W
23 May
@ Täfteå
1–4
L
10 May
vs Boden
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
IFK Östersund – last 6
DDWDLW
21 Jun
@ Umea FF
1–1
D
14 Jun
vs Kubikenborg
1–1
D
10 Jun
@ Fransta
2–1
W
6 Jun
vs Friska Viljor
0–0
D
30 May
vs Gottne
1–3
L
23 May
vs Lucksta
4–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between IFK Luleå and IFK Östersund.
What is the prediction for IFK Luleå vs IFK Östersund?
Our pick is IFK Luleå or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win IFK Luleå vs IFK Östersund?
On our numbers IFK Luleå have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and IFK Östersund 19%.
How many goals will there be in IFK Luleå vs IFK Östersund?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IFK Luleå vs IFK Östersund?
Our predicted score is IFK Luleå 2–1 IFK Östersund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is IFK Luleå vs IFK Östersund?
IFK Luleå vs IFK Östersund (Division 2 Norrland) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.