Beijing Guoan vs Rizhao Yuqi preview and prediction
The match
The FA Cup sees Beijing Guoan take on Rizhao Yuqi on Tuesday 1 September, kicking off at 12:35 (WAT) at Lanzhou Olympic Center Stadium.
Form guide
Beijing Guoan's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Dalian Zhixing 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Rizhao Yuqi's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Xi'an Ronghai 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Beijing Guoan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.4 for Beijing Guoan and 0.8 for Rizhao Yuqi. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 51%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 2.30, above our fair price of 1.98, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Beijing Guoan 2–1 Rizhao Yuqi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Beijing Guoan71%fair 1.41 · @1.14
Draw19%fair 5.31 · @7.50
Rizhao Yuqi10%fair 9.76 · @10.00
3.17Expected goals
2.36Beijing Guoan xG
0.81Rizhao Yuqi xG
51%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
2–19%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Beijing Guoan 2.4 – 0.8 Rizhao Yuqi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beijing Guoan to win✓
71%
1.41
1.14
Double chance
Beijing Guoan or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
2.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Beijing Guoan ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beijing Guoan / FT Beijing Guoan✓
48%
2.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.57
–
Form
Beijing Guoan – last 6
DDWWWW
28 Aug
@ Dalian Zhixing
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Yunnan Yukun
3–3
D
18 Aug
@ Shanghai Shenhua
3–0
W
15 Aug
@ Tianjin Teda
4–2
W
7 Aug
vs Sichuan Jiuniu
4–0
W
1 Aug
vs Hangzhou Greentown
2–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Rizhao Yuqi – last 6
DWDWDD
22 Aug
@ Xi'an Ronghai
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Shanghai Port II
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Dalian Kewei
2–2
D
5 Aug
vs BIT
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Qingdao Red Lions
0–0
D
29 Jul
vs Tai'an Tiankuang
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Beijing Guoan and Rizhao Yuqi.
What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan vs Rizhao Yuqi?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.30.
Who will win Beijing Guoan vs Rizhao Yuqi?
On our numbers Beijing Guoan have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Rizhao Yuqi 10%.
How many goals will there be in Beijing Guoan vs Rizhao Yuqi?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Beijing Guoan vs Rizhao Yuqi?
Our predicted score is Beijing Guoan 2–1 Rizhao Yuqi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Beijing Guoan vs Rizhao Yuqi?
Beijing Guoan vs Rizhao Yuqi (FA Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Lanzhou Olympic Center Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dalian Zhixing1
Shanghai Shenhua0
Shandong Luneng0
SHANGHAI SIPG3