Segunda División · ChileProvincial Osorno vs Linares Unido prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.79 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Linares Unido to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Provincial Osorno 1.2 – 1.1 Linares Unido expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Provincial Osorno hold the edge on home soil with a 43% chance of winning, against 35% for Linares Unido.
Provincial Osorno have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.7 per game. Linares Unido have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded. Linares Unido come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.2 for Provincial Osorno, 1.1 for Linares Unido). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (11%).
In their last 2 meetings, Provincial Osorno have won 0, Linares Unido have won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 56% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is close to our fair price of 1.79. For a bigger price, Linares Unido to win at 3.20 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Provincial Osorno to win ✓ | 43% | 2.30 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.68 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.16 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Provincial Osorno / FT Provincial Osorno ✓ | 23% | 4.33 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 12% | 8.05 | – |
Form
Provincial Osorno – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Concón National | 3–1 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Colchagua | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Santiago City | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | @ Municipal Salamanca | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Trasandino | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Aug | @ Linares Unido | 0–1 | L |
Linares Unido – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Trasandino | 5–4 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Municipal Salamanca | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Colchagua | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Concón National | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Santiago City | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Aug | vs Provincial Osorno | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 16 Aug 2026 | Linares Unido v Provincial Osorno | 1–0 |
| 6 Jun 2026 | Provincial Osorno v Linares Unido | 1–1 |
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Provincial Osorno | 12 | +10 | 24 |
| 2 |  Municipal Salamanca | 12 | +6 | 22 |
| 3 |  Colchagua | 12 | +4 | 22 |
| 4 |  Concón National | 12 | +6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Santiago City | 12 | -1 | 20 |
| 6 |  Linares Unido | 12 | +4 | 19 |
| 7 |  Trasandino | 12 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 |  General Velásquez | 12 | -4 | 16 |
| 9 |  Real San Joaquín | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 |  Lota Schwager | 12 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Colina | 12 | +1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Deportes Rengo | 12 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 |  Santiago Morning | 12 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |  Provincial Ovalle | 12 | -13 | 6 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Provincial Osorno vs Linares Unido?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Provincial Osorno vs Linares Unido?
On our numbers Provincial Osorno have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Linares Unido 35%.
How many goals will there be in Provincial Osorno vs Linares Unido?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Provincial Osorno vs Linares Unido?
Provincial Osorno vs Linares Unido (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.