Segunda División · ChileLota Schwager vs Deportes Rengo prediction & analysis
Lota Schwager or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Lota Schwager to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Lota Schwager 1.7 – 0.7 Deportes Rengo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Lota Schwager are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 18% for Deportes Rengo.
Lota Schwager have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.8 per game. Deportes Rengo have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 2.7 scored and 1.2 conceded. Deportes Rengo come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.7 for Lota Schwager, 0.7 for Deportes Rengo). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 2 meetings, Lota Schwager have won 0, Deportes Rengo have won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Lota Schwager or draw at a 82% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Lota Schwager to win at 1.85 is our value angle (63% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Lota Schwager to win ✓ | 63% | 1.60 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Lota Schwager or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Lota Schwager / FT Lota Schwager ✓ | 37% | 2.69 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 16% | 6.35 | – |
Form
Lota Schwager – last 6
| 11 Oct | @ General Velásquez | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Real San Joaquín | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Provincial Ovalle | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Colina | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Aug | vs Santiago Morning | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Aug | @ Deportes Rengo | 0–1 | L |
Deportes Rengo – last 6
| 11 Oct | vs Colina | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Provincial Ovalle | 5–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Santiago Morning | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Aug | @ Real San Joaquín | 5–2 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs General Velásquez | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Aug | vs Lota Schwager | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 16 Aug 2026 | Deportes Rengo v Lota Schwager | 1–0 |
| 6 Jun 2026 | Deportes Rengo v Lota Schwager | 1–1 |
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Provincial Osorno | 12 | +10 | 24 |
| 2 |  Municipal Salamanca | 12 | +6 | 22 |
| 3 |  Colchagua | 12 | +4 | 22 |
| 4 |  Concón National | 12 | +6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Santiago City | 12 | -1 | 20 |
| 6 |  Linares Unido | 12 | +4 | 19 |
| 7 |  Trasandino | 12 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 |  General Velásquez | 12 | -4 | 16 |
| 9 |  Real San Joaquín | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 |  Lota Schwager | 12 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Colina | 12 | +1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Deportes Rengo | 12 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 |  Santiago Morning | 12 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |  Provincial Ovalle | 12 | -13 | 6 |
More Segunda División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Lota Schwager vs Deportes Rengo?
Our pick is Lota Schwager or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lota Schwager vs Deportes Rengo?
On our numbers Lota Schwager have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Deportes Rengo 18%.
How many goals will there be in Lota Schwager vs Deportes Rengo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Lota Schwager vs Deportes Rengo?
Lota Schwager vs Deportes Rengo (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.