Provincial Osorno vs Santiago City prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Provincial Osorno or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Provincial Osorno to win @ 1.75 – our chance 66% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultProvincial Osorno to win ✗66% · @1.75
Double chanceProvincial Osorno or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Provincial Osorno vs Santiago City preview and prediction
The match
Provincial Osorno host Santiago City in the Segunda División on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT). Provincial Osorno are 1st with 24 points from 12 games (top of the table), while Santiago City sit 5th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Provincial Osorno's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Municipal Salamanca 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Santiago City's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Concón National 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Provincial Osorno and 0.6 for Santiago City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Provincial Osorno 66%, draw 19%, Santiago City 15%.
Safer route: Provincial Osorno or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Provincial Osorno to win at 1.75 – 66% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Provincial Osorno or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Provincial Osorno 1–0 Santiago City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Provincial Osorno66%fair 1.52 · @1.75
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.30
Santiago City15%fair 6.67 · @3.80
2.30Expected goals
1.69Provincial Osorno xG
0.61Santiago City xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Provincial Osorno 1.7 – 0.6 Santiago City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Provincial Osorno to win✗
66%
1.52
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Provincial Osorno or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Provincial Osorno / FT Provincial Osorno✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.45
–
Form
Provincial Osorno – last 6
LDLWDW
6 Sep
@ Municipal Salamanca
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Trasandino
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ Linares Unido
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs Concón National
1–0
W
12 Jul
@ Lota Schwager
2–2
D
4 Jul
vs General Velásquez
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Santiago City – last 6
WDWLWL
5 Sep
vs Concón National
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Linares Unido
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Colchagua
1–0
W
11 Jul
@ Concón National
2–4
L
26 Jun
vs Provincial Ovalle
3–2
W
20 Jun
@ Trasandino
1–5
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Provincial Osorno and Santiago City.
What is the prediction for Provincial Osorno vs Santiago City?
Our pick is Provincial Osorno or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Provincial Osorno vs Santiago City?
On our numbers Provincial Osorno have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Santiago City 15%.
How many goals will there be in Provincial Osorno vs Santiago City?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Provincial Osorno vs Santiago City?
Our predicted score is Provincial Osorno 1–0 Santiago City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Provincial Osorno vs Santiago City?
Provincial Osorno vs Santiago City (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
