Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.46
Lota Schwager vs Provincial Ovalle preview and prediction
The match
Provincial Ovalle travel to face Lota Schwager in the Segunda División on Saturday 26 September (21:00 WAT). Lota Schwager are 10th with 13 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Provincial Ovalle sit 14th on 6 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Lota Schwager's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Colina 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Provincial Ovalle's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Colina 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.5 for Lota Schwager and 0.8 for Provincial Ovalle. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 43%.
Our pre-match pick was Lota Schwager to win – a 57% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lota Schwager 1–0 Provincial Ovalle. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lota Schwager57%fair 1.76 · @1.91
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.25
Provincial Ovalle23%fair 4.40 · @3.50
2.26Expected goals
1.48Lota Schwager xG
0.78Provincial Ovalle xG
43%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Lota Schwager 1.5 – 0.8 Provincial Ovalle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lota Schwager to win✗
57%
1.76
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lota Schwager / FT Lota Schwager✗
32%
3.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.46
–
Form
Lota Schwager – last 6
DDLWDW
29 Aug
@ Colina
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Santiago Morning
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Deportes Rengo
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs General Velásquez
3–1
W
12 Jul
vs Provincial Osorno
2–2
D
5 Jul
@ Colchagua
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Provincial Ovalle – last 6
WDDLWL
7 Sep
vs Colina
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Santiago Morning
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Real San Joaquín
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ General Velásquez
0–1
L
4 Jul
vs Colina
2–1
W
26 Jun
@ Santiago City
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lota Schwager and Provincial Ovalle.
What is the prediction for Lota Schwager vs Provincial Ovalle?
Our pick is Lota Schwager to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Lota Schwager vs Provincial Ovalle?
On our numbers Lota Schwager have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Provincial Ovalle 23%.
How many goals will there be in Lota Schwager vs Provincial Ovalle?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lota Schwager vs Provincial Ovalle?
Our predicted score is Lota Schwager 1–0 Provincial Ovalle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Lota Schwager vs Provincial Ovalle?
Lota Schwager vs Provincial Ovalle (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
