Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Santiago Morning to win @ 1.95 – our chance 64% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSantiago Morning to win ✓64% · @1.95
Double chanceSantiago Morning or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.09
Santiago Morning vs Colina preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Santiago Morning take on Colina on Monday 17 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de La Pintana. Santiago Morning are 13th with 10 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Colina sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Santiago Morning's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Real San Joaquín 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Colina's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Deportes Rengo 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Santiago Morning and 0.6 for Colina. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santiago Morning 64%, draw 22%, Colina 14%.
Safer route: Santiago Morning or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Santiago Morning to win at 1.95 – 64% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Santiago Morning or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Santiago Morning 1–0 Colina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santiago Morning64%fair 1.56 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.30
Colina14%fair 6.99 · @3.45
2.34Expected goals
1.70Santiago Morning xG
0.64Colina xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Santiago Morning 1.7 – 0.6 Colina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santiago Morning to win✓
64%
1.56
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Santiago Morning or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Half-time result
Santiago Morning ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santiago Morning / FT Santiago Morning✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.09
–
Form
Santiago Morning – last 6
DLLDLD
10 Aug
@ Real San Joaquín
2–2
D
4 Jul
@ Deportes Rengo
1–3
L
28 Jun
vs Linares Unido
0–1
L
21 Jun
@ Lota Schwager
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs General Velásquez
0–1
L
30 May
vs Provincial Osorno
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Colina – last 6
LWLDLL
8 Aug
vs Deportes Rengo
0–1
L
12 Jul
vs Real San Joaquín
5–1
W
4 Jul
@ Provincial Ovalle
1–2
L
27 Jun
@ Concón National
1–1
D
21 Jun
vs Municipal Salamanca
1–2
L
6 Jun
@ Santiago City
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santiago Morning and Colina.
What is the prediction for Santiago Morning vs Colina?
Our pick is Santiago Morning or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Santiago Morning vs Colina?
On our numbers Santiago Morning have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Colina 14%.
How many goals will there be in Santiago Morning vs Colina?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santiago Morning vs Colina?
Our predicted score is Santiago Morning 1–0 Colina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Santiago Morning vs Colina?
Santiago Morning vs Colina (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de La Pintana.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
