Real San Joaquín vs Santiago Morning prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal San Joaquín to win ✗39% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.56
Real San Joaquín vs Santiago Morning preview and prediction
The match
Santiago Morning travel to face Real San Joaquín in the Segunda División on Monday 10 August (17:00 WAT). Real San Joaquín are 9th with 13 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Santiago Morning sit 13th on 10 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Real San Joaquín's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Colina 1–5 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Santiago Morning's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Deportes Rengo 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Real San Joaquín and 1.1 for Santiago Morning. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real San Joaquín 39%, draw 24%, Santiago Morning 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Real San Joaquín 1–1 Santiago Morning. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real San Joaquín39%fair 2.55 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.10
Santiago Morning36%fair 2.74 · @2.50
2.32Expected goals
1.19Real San Joaquín xG
1.13Santiago Morning xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Real San Joaquín 1.2 – 1.1 Santiago Morning expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real San Joaquín to win✗
39%
2.55
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real San Joaquín / FT Real San Joaquín✗
21%
4.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.56
–
Form
Real San Joaquín – last 6
LLDWLD
12 Jul
@ Colina
1–5
L
5 Jul
vs Trasandino
1–2
L
28 Jun
@ Municipal Salamanca
0–0
D
21 Jun
@ Provincial Ovalle
6–1
W
7 Jun
vs Concón National
0–1
L
25 May
@ Santiago City
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Santiago Morning – last 6
LLDLDD
4 Jul
@ Deportes Rengo
1–3
L
28 Jun
vs Linares Unido
0–1
L
21 Jun
@ Lota Schwager
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs General Velásquez
0–1
L
30 May
vs Provincial Osorno
0–0
D
24 May
@ Colchagua
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real San Joaquín and Santiago Morning.
What is the prediction for Real San Joaquín vs Santiago Morning?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Real San Joaquín vs Santiago Morning?
On our numbers Real San Joaquín have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Santiago Morning 36%.
How many goals will there be in Real San Joaquín vs Santiago Morning?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real San Joaquín vs Santiago Morning?
Our predicted score is Real San Joaquín 1–1 Santiago Morning, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Real San Joaquín vs Santiago Morning?
Real San Joaquín vs Santiago Morning (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 10 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
