Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: Firpo to win @ 2.20 – our chance 48% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFirpo to win ✓48% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.83
Municipal Limeño vs Firpo preview and prediction
The match
Municipal Limeño host Firpo in the Primera Division on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT). Municipal Limeño are 8th with 23 points from 20 games (in the bottom half), while Firpo sit 1st on 40 points (top of the table). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Municipal Limeño's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Platense 1–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Firpo's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Alianza 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Firpo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 August 2026, finished Firpo 2–0 Municipal Limeño. Across their last 2 meetings Municipal Limeño have won 1, Firpo 1, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Municipal Limeño and 1.5 for Firpo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Municipal Limeño 28%, draw 23%, Firpo 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Firpo to win at 2.20 – 48% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Municipal Limeño 1–1 Firpo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Municipal Limeño28%fair 3.54 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.90
Firpo48%fair 2.07 · @2.20
2.59Expected goals
1.08Municipal Limeño xG
1.51Firpo xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Municipal Limeño 1.1 – 1.5 Firpo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Municipal Limeño vs Firpo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Municipal Limeño vs Firpo?
On our numbers Municipal Limeño have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Firpo 48%.
How many goals will there be in Municipal Limeño vs Firpo?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Municipal Limeño vs Firpo?
Our predicted score is Municipal Limeño 1–1 Firpo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Municipal Limeño vs Firpo?
Municipal Limeño vs Firpo (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
