Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFirpo to win ✗39% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Alianza vs Firpo preview and prediction
The match
Alianza host Firpo in the Primera Division on Sunday 4 October, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT). Alianza are 7th with 26 points from 19 games (in the bottom half), while Firpo sit 1st on 39 points (top of the table). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Alianza's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Platense 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Firpo's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Fuerte San Francisco 3–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Alianza and 1.4 for Firpo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alianza 35%, draw 26%, Firpo 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Alianza 1–1 Firpo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza35%fair 2.85 · @2.60
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @2.90
Firpo39%fair 2.54 · @2.60
2.61Expected goals
1.26Alianza xG
1.35Firpo xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Alianza 1.3 – 1.4 Firpo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Firpo to win✗
39%
2.54
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Firpo / FT Firpo✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Form
Alianza – last 6
WDDWDL
1 Oct
vs Platense
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs Inca Aruba
1–1
D
24 Sep
vs Fuerte San Francisco
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs Municipal Limeño
3–2
W
17 Sep
vs CD Motagua
0–0
D
10 Sep
@ CD Motagua
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Firpo – last 6
WWDWLL
1 Oct
@ Fuerte San Francisco
3–0
W
27 Sep
vs Águila
2–0
W
24 Sep
vs Cacahuatique
0–0
D
21 Sep
vs Atletico Balboa
3–1
W
18 Sep
@ CD Olimpia
0–3
L
14 Sep
vs Isidro Metapán
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza and Firpo.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Alianza vs Firpo?
On our numbers Alianza have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Firpo 39%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza vs Firpo?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza vs Firpo?
Our predicted score is Alianza 1–1 Firpo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Alianza vs Firpo?
Alianza vs Firpo (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
