Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFirpo to win ✓63% · @1.40
Double chanceFirpo or draw ✓83% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.48
Firpo vs Atletico Balboa preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Balboa travel to face Firpo in the Primera Division on Monday 21 September (00:30 WAT). Firpo are 1st with 40 points from 20 games (top of the table), while Atletico Balboa sit 10th on 20 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Firpo's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to CD Olimpia 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Atletico Balboa's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Platense 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Atletico Balboa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Firpo and 0.7 for Atletico Balboa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Firpo to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Firpo 1–0 Atletico Balboa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Firpo63%fair 1.59 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.90
Atletico Balboa17%fair 5.79 · @7.00
2.39Expected goals
1.68Firpo xG
0.71Atletico Balboa xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Firpo 1.7 – 0.7 Atletico Balboa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Firpo to win✓
63%
1.59
1.40
Double chance
Firpo or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Firpo / FT Firpo✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.48
–
Form
Firpo – last 6
LLLWLD
18 Sep
@ CD Olimpia
0–3
L
14 Sep
vs Isidro Metapán
1–2
L
11 Sep
vs CD Olimpia
0–3
L
7 Sep
vs Inter
3–0
W
31 Aug
@ FAS
1–3
L
27 Aug
@ Xelajú
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Atletico Balboa – last 6
WLLLWW
12 Sep
vs Platense
3–1
W
9 Sep
@ Inca Aruba
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Municipal Limeño
0–2
L
30 Aug
@ Alianza
0–2
L
23 Aug
vs Fuerte San Francisco
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Águila
4–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Firpo and Atletico Balboa.
What is the prediction for Firpo vs Atletico Balboa?
Our pick is Firpo to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Firpo vs Atletico Balboa?
On our numbers Firpo have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Atletico Balboa 17%.
How many goals will there be in Firpo vs Atletico Balboa?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Firpo vs Atletico Balboa?
Our predicted score is Firpo 1–0 Atletico Balboa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Firpo vs Atletico Balboa?
Firpo vs Atletico Balboa (Primera Division) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
