Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Alianza to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlianza to win ✗64% · @1.55
Double chanceAlianza or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.07
Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Division sees Alianza take on Fuerte San Francisco on Thursday 24 September, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT). Alianza are 7th with 26 points from 19 games (in the bottom half), while Fuerte San Francisco sit 12th on 14 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Alianza's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Municipal Limeño 3–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Fuerte San Francisco's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Inca Aruba 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Alianza arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 May 2026, finished Fuerte San Francisco 0–1 Alianza. Across their last 2 meetings Alianza have won 2, Fuerte San Francisco 0, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Alianza and 0.7 for Fuerte San Francisco. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alianza 64%, draw 21%, Fuerte San Francisco 15%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Alianza to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Alianza 1–0 Fuerte San Francisco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza64%fair 1.56 · @1.55
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
Fuerte San Francisco15%fair 6.72 · @5.50
2.56Expected goals
1.83Alianza xG
0.73Fuerte San Francisco xG
44%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Alianza 1.8 – 0.7 Fuerte San Francisco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Our pick is Alianza to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?
On our numbers Alianza have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fuerte San Francisco 15%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Our predicted score is Alianza 1–0 Fuerte San Francisco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
