Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlianza to win ✓64% · @1.60
Double chanceAlianza or draw ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.66
Alianza vs Atletico Balboa preview and prediction
The match
Alianza host Atletico Balboa in the Primera Division on Sunday 30 August, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT). Alianza are 7th with 26 points from 20 games (in the bottom half), while Atletico Balboa sit 10th on 20 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Alianza's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Platense 2–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Atletico Balboa's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Fuerte San Francisco 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atletico Balboa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Alianza and 0.7 for Atletico Balboa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 50%.
Our pre-match pick was Alianza to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Alianza 1–0 Atletico Balboa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza64%fair 1.56 · @1.60
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.40
Atletico Balboa17%fair 5.98 · @5.00
2.45Expected goals
1.74Alianza xG
0.71Atletico Balboa xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Alianza 1.7 – 0.7 Atletico Balboa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza to win✓
64%
1.56
1.60
Double chance
Alianza or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Alianza ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza / FT Alianza✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.66
–
Form
Alianza – last 6
DLWDLL
26 Aug
@ Platense
2–2
D
23 Aug
@ Isidro Metapán
0–2
L
20 Aug
@ CD Marathon
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Cacahuatique
0–0
D
12 Aug
@ Real Estelí
1–3
L
9 Aug
@ Inter
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Atletico Balboa – last 6
WWDDLD
23 Aug
vs Fuerte San Francisco
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Águila
4–2
W
10 Aug
@ FAS
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Isidro Metapán
0–0
D
28 Jul
@ Cacahuatique
2–4
L
25 Jul
vs Inter
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza and Atletico Balboa.
What is the prediction for Alianza vs Atletico Balboa?
Our pick is Alianza to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Alianza vs Atletico Balboa?
On our numbers Alianza have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Atletico Balboa 17%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza vs Atletico Balboa?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza vs Atletico Balboa?
Our predicted score is Alianza 1–0 Atletico Balboa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Alianza vs Atletico Balboa?
Alianza vs Atletico Balboa (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
