Value bet: Isidro Metapán to win @ 2.60 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIsidro Metapán to win ✗41% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.00
Municipal Limeño vs Isidro Metapán preview and prediction
The match
Isidro Metapán travel to face Municipal Limeño in the Primera Division on Friday 28 August (23:00 WAT). Municipal Limeño are 8th with 23 points from 20 games (in the bottom half), while Isidro Metapán sit 2nd on 35 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Municipal Limeño's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Cacahuatique 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Isidro Metapán's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Alianza 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Isidro Metapán arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished Isidro Metapán 1–0 Municipal Limeño.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Municipal Limeño and 1.3 for Isidro Metapán. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Municipal Limeño 34%, draw 25%, Isidro Metapán 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Isidro Metapán to win at 2.60 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Municipal Limeño 1–1 Isidro Metapán. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Municipal Limeño34%fair 2.95 · @2.60
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.00
Isidro Metapán41%fair 2.45 · @2.60
2.43Expected goals
1.15Municipal Limeño xG
1.29Isidro Metapán xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Municipal Limeño 1.1 – 1.3 Isidro Metapán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Municipal Limeño vs Isidro Metapán?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Municipal Limeño vs Isidro Metapán?
On our numbers Municipal Limeño have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Isidro Metapán 41%.
How many goals will there be in Municipal Limeño vs Isidro Metapán?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Municipal Limeño vs Isidro Metapán?
Our predicted score is Municipal Limeño 1–1 Isidro Metapán, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Municipal Limeño vs Isidro Metapán?
Municipal Limeño vs Isidro Metapán (Primera Division) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
