Value bet: Fuerte San Francisco to win @ 3.30 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Balboa to win ✓46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 8.73
Atletico Balboa vs Fuerte San Francisco preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Division sees Atletico Balboa take on Fuerte San Francisco on Sunday 23 August, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT). Atletico Balboa are 10th with 20 points from 19 games (in the bottom three), while Fuerte San Francisco sit 11th on 17 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Atletico Balboa's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Águila 4–2 away. They average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fuerte San Francisco's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Isidro Metapán 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Atletico Balboa and 1.1 for Fuerte San Francisco. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico Balboa 46%, draw 22%, Fuerte San Francisco 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Fuerte San Francisco to win at 3.30 – 32% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Atletico Balboa 1–1 Fuerte San Francisco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Balboa46%fair 2.19 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.10
Fuerte San Francisco32%fair 3.11 · @3.30
2.49Expected goals
1.39Atletico Balboa xG
1.11Fuerte San Francisco xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Atletico Balboa 1.4 – 1.1 Fuerte San Francisco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Balboa to win✓
46%
2.19
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Balboa / FT Atletico Balboa✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
8.73
–
Form
Atletico Balboa – last 5
WDDLD
15 Aug
@ Águila
4–2
W
10 Aug
@ FAS
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Isidro Metapán
0–0
D
28 Jul
@ Cacahuatique
2–4
L
25 Jul
vs Inter
0–0
D
1.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Fuerte San Francisco – last 6
WDDLDL
15 Aug
vs Isidro Metapán
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Cacahuatique
0–0
D
1 Aug
vs Inter
2–2
D
30 Jul
@ Firpo
0–4
L
26 Jul
vs Platense
1–1
D
1 May
vs Alianza
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Balboa and Fuerte San Francisco.
What is the prediction for Atletico Balboa vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Atletico Balboa vs Fuerte San Francisco?
On our numbers Atletico Balboa have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fuerte San Francisco 32%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Balboa vs Fuerte San Francisco?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Balboa vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Our predicted score is Atletico Balboa 1–1 Fuerte San Francisco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Atletico Balboa vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Atletico Balboa vs Fuerte San Francisco (Primera Division) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
