Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco preview and prediction
The match
Fuerte San Francisco travel to face Firpo in the Primera Division on Thursday 30 July (02:00 WAT). Firpo are 1st with 40 points from 20 games (top of the table), while Fuerte San Francisco sit 11th on 17 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Firpo's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Águila 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Fuerte San Francisco's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Platense 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Firpo and 0.7 for Fuerte San Francisco. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Firpo 64%, draw 19%, Fuerte San Francisco 18%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.05.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Firpo 1–0 Fuerte San Francisco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Firpo64%fair 1.57 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @3.95
Fuerte San Francisco18%fair 5.62 · @7.20
2.30Expected goals
1.63Firpo xG
0.67Fuerte San Francisco xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Firpo 1.6 – 0.7 Fuerte San Francisco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Firpo to win✓
64%
1.57
1.40
Double chance
Firpo or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Firpo / FT Firpo✓
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.11
–
Form
Firpo – last 6
DWDDWL
26 Jul
@ Águila
1–1
D
13 May
@ Águila
2–1
W
1 May
@ Águila
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs FAS
1–1
D
23 Apr
vs Batanecos
3–0
W
16 Apr
vs Isidro Metapán
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Fuerte San Francisco – last 6
DLWWLD
26 Jul
vs Platense
1–1
D
1 May
vs Alianza
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ Isidro Metapán
3–1
W
21 Apr
vs Platense
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Zacatecoluca
0–1
L
15 Apr
vs Platense
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Firpo and Fuerte San Francisco.
What is the prediction for Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco?
On our numbers Firpo have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Fuerte San Francisco 18%.
How many goals will there be in Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Our predicted score is Firpo 1–0 Fuerte San Francisco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco (Primera Division) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
