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Premier Soccer League · South-Africa · Sugar Ray Xulu Stadium
1–2
FT

Golden Arrows vs Mamelodi Sundowns prediction & analysis

71%
Footrivo pick

Mamelodi Sundowns to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultMamelodi Sundowns to win ✓71% · @1.40
Double chanceMamelodi Sundowns or draw ✓93% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗21% · fair 4.76

Golden Arrows vs Mamelodi Sundowns preview and prediction

The match

Golden Arrows host Mamelodi Sundowns in the Premier Soccer League on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Sugar Ray Xulu Stadium. Golden Arrows are 10th with 8 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Mamelodi Sundowns sit 1st on 26 points (top of the table). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Golden Arrows's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Mamelodi Sundowns 2–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Mamelodi Sundowns's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Milford FC 2–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 30 August 2026, finished Golden Arrows 2–3 Mamelodi Sundowns. Across their last 3 meetings Golden Arrows have won 1, Mamelodi Sundowns 2, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.4 for Golden Arrows and 1.7 for Mamelodi Sundowns. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Mamelodi Sundowns to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Golden Arrows 0–1 Mamelodi Sundowns. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Golden Arrows7%fair 13.87 · @8.50
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.90
Mamelodi Sundowns71%fair 1.41 · @1.40
2.11Expected goals
0.38Golden Arrows xG
1.73Mamelodi Sundowns xG
46%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–121%
0–218%
0–012%
0–311%
1–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Golden Arrows 0.4 – 1.7 Mamelodi Sundowns expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMamelodi Sundowns to win ✓71%1.411.40
Double chanceMamelodi Sundowns or draw ✓93%1.081.07
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.841.60
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Half-time resultMamelodi Sundowns ahead at half-time ✓48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mamelodi Sundowns / FT Mamelodi Sundowns ✓45%2.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗21%4.76–

Form

Golden Arrows – last 6

LWWDDW
30 Augvs Mamelodi Sundowns2–3L
26 Augvs Stellenbosch1–0W
23 Aug@ Mamelodi Sundowns1–0W
16 Aug@ TS Galaxy0–0D
12 Aug@ Durban City0–0D
9 Aug@ Kaizer Chiefs1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Mamelodi Sundowns – last 6

WWWLWD
2 Sepvs Milford FC2–0W
30 Aug@ Golden Arrows3–2W
26 Augvs Amazulu5–2W
23 Augvs Golden Arrows0–1L
19 Augvs Marumo Gallants2–0W
15 Aug@ Kaizer Chiefs1–1D
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 Aug 2026Golden Arrows v Mamelodi Sundowns2–3
23 Aug 2026Mamelodi Sundowns v Golden Arrows0–1
4 Mar 2026Mamelodi Sundowns v Golden Arrows2–1

Premier Soccer League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Mamelodi Sundowns10820+1826
2Orlando Pirates9810+1925
3Amazulu9711+522
4Milford FC10532+418
5Kaizer Chiefs9351+414
6Sekhukhune United9423014
7Chippa United9252-111
8Stellenbosch9243-110
9Kruger United9315-610
10Golden Arrows9153-28
11Polokwane City9153-38
12TS Galaxy9144-57
13Durban City9144-57
14Siwelele9135-76
15Marumo Gallants9126-85
16Richards Bay9036-123

More Premier Soccer League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Golden Arrows vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Our pick is Mamelodi Sundowns to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Golden Arrows vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

On our numbers Golden Arrows have a 7% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mamelodi Sundowns 71%.

How many goals will there be in Golden Arrows vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Golden Arrows vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Our predicted score is Golden Arrows 0–1 Mamelodi Sundowns, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Golden Arrows vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Golden Arrows vs Mamelodi Sundowns (Premier Soccer League) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Sugar Ray Xulu Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.