Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Araz to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAraz to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceAraz or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.58
Araz vs Imisli FK preview and prediction
The match
Imisli FK travel to face Araz in the Premyer Liqa on Saturday 15 August (15:30 WAT). Araz are 12th with 4 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Imisli FK sit 8th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Araz's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Zira 3–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Imisli FK's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Karvan 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Araz and 0.9 for Imisli FK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Araz 57%, draw 23%, Imisli FK 21%.
Safer route: Araz or draw (79%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Araz to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Araz or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Araz 1–0 Imisli FK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Araz57%fair 1.76 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
Imisli FK21%fair 4.85 · @3.65
2.53Expected goals
1.66Araz xG
0.87Imisli FK xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Araz 1.7 – 0.9 Imisli FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Araz to win✗
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Araz or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Araz / FT Araz✗
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.58
–
Form
Araz – last 6
WLLWWL
23 May
vs Zira
3–2
W
17 Apr
vs Turan
0–3
L
7 Apr
vs Sabah FA
2–4
L
18 Mar
@ Keshla FC
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Karvan
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Qarabag
0–6
L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Imisli FK – last 6
DDWWDL
24 May
vs Karvan
1–1
D
8 May
vs Zira
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Kapaz
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ Qabala
1–0
W
7 Apr
vs Turan
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Neftchi Baku
0–6
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Araz and Imisli FK.
Our pick is Araz or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Araz vs Imisli FK?
On our numbers Araz have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Imisli FK 21%.
How many goals will there be in Araz vs Imisli FK?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Araz vs Imisli FK?
Our predicted score is Araz 1–0 Imisli FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Araz vs Imisli FK?
Araz vs Imisli FK (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
