Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: Al Nasr to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Nasr to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceAl Nasr or draw ✗81% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.15
Al Nasr vs Ajman preview and prediction
The match
Ajman travel to Al Maktoum Stadium in the Pro League on Sunday 6 September (14:45 WAT) to face Al Nasr. Al Nasr are 7th with 11 points from 7 games (in the top half), while Ajman sit 8th on 10 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Al Nasr's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Al Ain 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Ajman's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Al-Jazira 0–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.4 for Al Nasr and 1.4 for Ajman. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Nasr 58%, draw 23%, Ajman 19%.
Safer route: Al Nasr or draw (81%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Al Nasr to win at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Nasr or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al Nasr 2–1 Ajman. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Nasr58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.30
Ajman19%fair 5.27 · @3.30
3.83Expected goals
2.42Al Nasr xG
1.41Ajman xG
65%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
2–06%
2–26%
1–05%
From our goals model: Al Nasr 2.4 – 1.4 Ajman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Nasr to win✗
58%
1.73
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Al Nasr or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Al Nasr ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Nasr / FT Al Nasr✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.15
–
Form
Al Nasr – last 6
LWDWLW
29 Aug
@ Al Ain
1–2
L
21 Aug
vs Al Wahda FC
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Al-Ittihad Kalba
2–2
D
11 May
vs Al-Ittihad Kalba
2–1
W
6 May
@ Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1–2
L
24 Apr
vs Al-Jazira
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ajman – last 6
LWWDWL
29 Aug
@ Al-Jazira
0–3
L
22 Aug
vs Hatta SC
4–3
W
14 Aug
@ Al Wahda FC
3–1
W
5 May
vs Al-Jazira
1–1
D
24 Apr
@ Al-Dhafra
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Al Ain
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Nasr and Ajman.
Our pick is Al Nasr or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Al Nasr vs Ajman?
On our numbers Al Nasr have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ajman 19%.
How many goals will there be in Al Nasr vs Ajman?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Nasr vs Ajman?
Our predicted score is Al Nasr 2–1 Ajman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Al Nasr vs Ajman?
Al Nasr vs Ajman (Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Al Maktoum Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
