Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPetare FC to win ✓64% · @1.95
Double chancePetare FC or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗67% · fair 1.49
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗72% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.17
Petare FC vs Aragua FC preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Petare FC take on Aragua FC on Sunday 26 July, kicking off at 20:30 (WAT). Petare FC are 3rd with 42 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Aragua FC sit 2nd on 43 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Petare FC's last 4: LLDL Most recently they lost to Bolívar 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Aragua FC's last 3: DLW Most recently they drew with Caracas FC 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Aragua FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.3 for Petare FC and 0.4 for Aragua FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Petare FC 64%, draw 21%, Aragua FC 15%.
Safer route: Petare FC or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Petare FC to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Petare FC 1–0 Aragua FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Petare FC64%fair 1.56 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @2.88
Aragua FC15%fair 6.70 · @3.90
1.69Expected goals
1.30Petare FC xG
0.39Aragua FC xG
33%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–024%
0–018%
2–016%
1–19%
0–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Petare FC 1.3 – 0.4 Aragua FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Petare FC to win✓
64%
1.56
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Petare FC or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Petare FC / FT Petare FC✓
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
24%
4.17
–
Form
Petare FC – last 4
LLDL
6 Jun
@ Bolívar
0–2
L
31 May
@ Monagas II
0–2
L
24 May
vs Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
1–1
D
29 Mar
@ Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Aragua FC – last 3
DLW
24 Jun
@ Caracas FC
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Monagas II
1–2
L
31 May
@ Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Petare FC and Aragua FC.
What is the prediction for Petare FC vs Aragua FC?
Our pick is Petare FC to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Petare FC vs Aragua FC?
On our numbers Petare FC have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aragua FC 15%.
How many goals will there be in Petare FC vs Aragua FC?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 33% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Petare FC vs Aragua FC?
Our predicted score is Petare FC 1–0 Aragua FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Petare FC vs Aragua FC?
Petare FC vs Aragua FC (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
