Moreirense U23 vs Gil Vicente U23 prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Moreirense U23 or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Moreirense U23 to win @ 1.67 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMoreirense U23 to win ✓64% · @1.67
Double chanceMoreirense U23 or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓11% · fair 8.81
Moreirense U23 vs Gil Vicente U23 preview and prediction
The match
Moreirense U23 host Gil Vicente U23 in the Liga Revelação U23 on Tuesday 27 October, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Moreirense U23 are 8th with 15 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Gil Vicente U23 sit 15th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Moreirense U23's last 5: DWDDD Most recently they drew with Benfica U23 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Gil Vicente U23's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Sporting CP U23 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Moreirense U23 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Moreirense U23 and 0.9 for Gil Vicente U23. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 60%.
Safer route: Moreirense U23 or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Moreirense U23 to win at 1.67 – 64% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Moreirense U23 or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Moreirense U23 2–0 Gil Vicente U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Moreirense U2364%fair 1.56 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.50
Gil Vicente U2315%fair 6.58 · @4.00
2.89Expected goals
2.02Moreirense U23 xG
0.87Gil Vicente U23 xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Moreirense U23 2.0 – 0.9 Gil Vicente U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Moreirense U23 to win✓
64%
1.56
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Moreirense U23 or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.65
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Moreirense U23 ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Moreirense U23 / FT Moreirense U23✓
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
11%
8.81
–
Form
Moreirense U23 – last 6
DWDDDW
19 Oct
@ Benfica U23
1–1
D
13 Oct
vs Santa Clara U23
7–0
W
6 Oct
@ Rio Ave U23
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Estrela U23
2–2
D
14 Sep
vs Sporting Braga U23
1–1
D
8 Sep
@ Academico Viseu U23
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gil Vicente U23 – last 6
LLWWDL
17 Oct
@ Sporting CP U23
0–2
L
13 Oct
vs Vizela U23
1–2
L
21 Sep
@ União Leiria U23
1–0
W
15 Sep
vs Portimonense U23
2–0
W
8 Sep
@ Marítimo U23
1–1
D
1 Sep
vs Rio Ave U23
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moreirense U23 and Gil Vicente U23.
What is the prediction for Moreirense U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?
Our pick is Moreirense U23 or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Moreirense U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?
On our numbers Moreirense U23 have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gil Vicente U23 15%.
How many goals will there be in Moreirense U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moreirense U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?
Our predicted score is Moreirense U23 2–0 Gil Vicente U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Moreirense U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?
Moreirense U23 vs Gil Vicente U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
