Sporting CP U23 vs Penafiel U23 prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Sporting CP U23 to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSporting CP U23 to win ✗65% · @1.67
Double chanceSporting CP U23 or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.88
Sporting CP U23 vs Penafiel U23 preview and prediction
The match
Sporting CP U23 host Penafiel U23 in the Liga Revelação U23 on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Sporting CP U23 are 1st with 22 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Penafiel U23 sit 13th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sporting CP U23's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Academico Viseu U23 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Penafiel U23's last 5: LDDDD Most recently they lost to Santa Clara U23 0–1 at home. They average 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Sporting CP U23 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for Sporting CP U23 and 1.0 for Penafiel U23. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations.
Safer route: Sporting CP U23 or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sporting CP U23 to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sporting CP U23 2–0 Penafiel U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting CP U2365%fair 1.54 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.70
Penafiel U2314%fair 7.11 · @4.00
3.21Expected goals
2.24Sporting CP U23 xG
0.97Penafiel U23 xG
51%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sporting CP U23 2.2 – 1.0 Penafiel U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting CP U23 to win✗
65%
1.54
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Sporting CP U23 or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Sporting CP U23 ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting CP U23 / FT Sporting CP U23✗
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.88
–
Form
Sporting CP U23 – last 6
DWWWWD
15 Sep
vs Academico Viseu U23
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Leixões U23
4–3
W
1 Sep
@ Estrela U23
2–1
W
25 Aug
vs Benfica U23
4–1
W
18 Aug
@ Vizela U23
1–0
W
11 Aug
vs União Leiria U23
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Penafiel U23 – last 5
LDDDD
15 Sep
vs Santa Clara U23
0–1
L
7 Sep
@ Sporting Braga U23
3–3
D
1 Sep
vs Leixões U23
1–1
D
18 Aug
vs Marítimo U23
2–2
D
11 Aug
@ Portimonense U23
2–2
D
1.6Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting CP U23 and Penafiel U23.
What is the prediction for Sporting CP U23 vs Penafiel U23?
Our pick is Sporting CP U23 to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Sporting CP U23 vs Penafiel U23?
On our numbers Sporting CP U23 have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Penafiel U23 14%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting CP U23 vs Penafiel U23?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting CP U23 vs Penafiel U23?
Our predicted score is Sporting CP U23 2–0 Penafiel U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Sporting CP U23 vs Penafiel U23?
Sporting CP U23 vs Penafiel U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
