Penafiel U23 vs Leixões U23 preview and prediction
The match
Penafiel U23 host Leixões U23 in the Liga Revelação U23 on Tuesday 1 September, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT). Penafiel U23 are 13th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Leixões U23 sit 16th on 10 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Leixões U23's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to União Leiria U23 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for Penafiel U23 and 1.6 for Leixões U23. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Penafiel U23 1–1 Leixões U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Penafiel U2336%fair 2.80 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.35
Leixões U2341%fair 2.42 · @2.50
3.09Expected goals
1.48Penafiel U23 xG
1.61Leixões U23 xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Penafiel U23 1.5 – 1.6 Leixões U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leixões U23 to win✗
41%
2.42
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leixões U23 / FT Leixões U23✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.46
–
Form
Penafiel U23 – last 2
DD
18 Aug
vs Marítimo U23
2–2
D
11 Aug
@ Portimonense U23
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Leixões U23 – last 6
LWWDWL
25 Aug
vs União Leiria U23
1–2
L
18 Aug
@ Estrela U23
3–0
W
11 May
@ Torreense U23
2–0
W
28 Apr
@ Academico Viseu U23
0–0
D
21 Apr
vs Santa Clara U23
3–1
W
12 Apr
@ Benfica U23
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Penafiel U23 and Leixões U23.
What is the prediction for Penafiel U23 vs Leixões U23?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Penafiel U23 vs Leixões U23?
On our numbers Penafiel U23 have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leixões U23 41%.
How many goals will there be in Penafiel U23 vs Leixões U23?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penafiel U23 vs Leixões U23?
Our predicted score is Penafiel U23 1–1 Leixões U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Penafiel U23 vs Leixões U23?
Penafiel U23 vs Leixões U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
