Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.05 – our chance 57% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBenfica U23 to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.66
Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23 preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Revelação U23 sees Sporting CP U23 take on Benfica U23 on Tuesday 25 August, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT). Sporting CP U23 are 1st with 22 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Benfica U23 sit 11th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sporting CP U23's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Vizela U23 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Benfica U23's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Rio Ave U23 0–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 April 2026, finished Sporting CP U23 2–1 Benfica U23. Across their last 2 meetings Sporting CP U23 have won 1, Benfica U23 1, with 0 draws and 4.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for Sporting CP U23 and 1.0 for Benfica U23. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 57% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.05 – 57% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.31, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sporting CP U23 0–1 Benfica U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting CP U2335%fair 2.86 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.50
Benfica U2343%fair 2.35 · @2.10
1.93Expected goals
0.90Sporting CP U23 xG
1.04Benfica U23 xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sporting CP U23 0.9 – 1.0 Benfica U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23?
On our numbers Sporting CP U23 have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Benfica U23 43%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23?
Our predicted score is Sporting CP U23 0–1 Benfica U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23?
Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
