Liga Revelação U23 · PortugalEstrela U23 vs Leixões U23 prediction & analysis
Estrela U23 or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Draw @ 3.30 – our chance 57% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +86%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Estrela U23 1.5 – 1.3 Leixões U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Estrela U23 and Leixões U23 on our numbers – 24% for the home side, 19% for the visitors and 57% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Estrela U23 have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 1.2 per game. Leixões U23 have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. Leixões U23 come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.5 for Estrela U23, 1.3 for Leixões U23). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 61%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%).
Our pick is Estrela U23 or draw at a 81% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is better than our fair price of 1.24, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Draw at 3.30 is our value angle (57% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Draw ✗ | 57% | 1.77 | 3.30 ▲ |
| Double chance | Estrela U23 or draw ✗ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.33 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | 1.93 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | 1.28 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 41% | 2.42 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Estrela U23 / FT Estrela U23 ✗ | 23% | 4.27 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–1 ✗ | 12% | 8.41 | – |
Form
Estrela U23 – last 6
| 10 Aug | @ Academico Viseu U23 | 0–3 | L |
| 28 Apr | @ Marítimo U23 | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Apr | @ Gil Vicente U23 | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Apr | @ Farense U23 | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Mar | vs Rio Ave U23 | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | @ Vizela U23 | 1–1 | D |
Leixões U23 – last 6
| 11 May | @ Torreense U23 | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Apr | @ Academico Viseu U23 | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Apr | vs Santa Clara U23 | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | @ Benfica U23 | 1–2 | L |
| 7 Apr | vs Torreense U23 | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Mar | @ Sporting Braga U23 | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estrela U23 and Leixões U23.
Liga Revelação U23 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sporting CP U23 | 11 | +8 | 22 |
| 2 |  Academico Viseu U23 | 11 | +5 | 21 |
| 3 |  Estoril U23 | 11 | +5 | 20 |
| 4 |  Rio Ave U23 | 11 | +9 | 19 |
| 5 |  Famalicão U23 | 11 | +1 | 17 |
| 6 |  Vizela U23 | 10 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 |  Moreirense U23 | 11 | +9 | 15 |
| 8 |  Felgueiras U23 | 10 | +4 | 15 |
| 9 |  Sporting Braga U23 | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Torreense U23 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 |  Benfica U23 | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 |  União Leiria U23 | 11 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Penafiel U23 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 |  Farense U23 | 11 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 |  Gil Vicente U23 | 11 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 |  Leixões U23 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
| 17 |  Portimonense U23 | 11 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 |  Santa Clara U23 | 9 | -10 | 10 |
| 19 |  Estrela U23 | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 20 |  Marítimo U23 | 11 | -6 | 9 |
More Liga Revelação U23 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Estrela U23 vs Leixões U23?
Our pick is Estrela U23 or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Estrela U23 vs Leixões U23?
On our numbers Estrela U23 have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 57% and Leixões U23 19%.
How many goals will there be in Estrela U23 vs Leixões U23?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Estrela U23 vs Leixões U23?
Estrela U23 vs Leixões U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.