Marítimo U23 vs Benfica U23 preview and prediction
The match
Benfica U23 travel to Estádio do Marítimo in the Liga Revelação U23 on Friday 25 September (14:00 WAT) to face Marítimo U23. Marítimo U23 are 20th with 9 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Benfica U23 sit 11th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Marítimo U23's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Felgueiras U23 0–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Benfica U23's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Torreense U23 3–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Benfica U23 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.5 for Marítimo U23 and 1.8 for Benfica U23. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 53%.
Our pre-match pick was Benfica U23 to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Marítimo U23 0–1 Benfica U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marítimo U2311%fair 9.29 · @4.80
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.70
Benfica U2368%fair 1.46 · @1.55
2.33Expected goals
0.54Marítimo U23 xG
1.79Benfica U23 xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–216%
0–010%
0–39%
1–19%
1–28%
From our goals model: Marítimo U23 0.5 – 1.8 Benfica U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Benfica U23 to win✓
68%
1.46
1.55 ▲
Double chance
Benfica U23 or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Benfica U23 ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benfica U23 / FT Benfica U23✗
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.73
–
Form
Marítimo U23 – last 6
LLDLDD
20 Sep
vs Felgueiras U23
0–2
L
15 Sep
@ Vizela U23
1–2
L
8 Sep
vs Gil Vicente U23
1–1
D
1 Sep
@ União Leiria U23
0–2
L
25 Aug
vs Estrela U23
0–0
D
18 Aug
@ Penafiel U23
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Benfica U23 – last 6
WWLLLD
19 Sep
vs Torreense U23
3–0
W
14 Sep
@ União Leiria U23
2–1
W
9 Sep
vs Vizela U23
0–1
L
2 Sep
vs Academico Viseu U23
1–2
L
25 Aug
@ Sporting CP U23
1–4
L
20 Aug
vs Rio Ave U23
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marítimo U23 and Benfica U23.
What is the prediction for Marítimo U23 vs Benfica U23?
Our pick is Benfica U23 to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Marítimo U23 vs Benfica U23?
On our numbers Marítimo U23 have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Benfica U23 68%.
How many goals will there be in Marítimo U23 vs Benfica U23?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marítimo U23 vs Benfica U23?
Our predicted score is Marítimo U23 0–1 Benfica U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Marítimo U23 vs Benfica U23?
Marítimo U23 vs Benfica U23 (Liga Revelação U23) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Marítimo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
