BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
BG Pathum United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBG Pathum United to win ✓64% · @1.57
Double chanceBG Pathum United or draw ✓87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.31
BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United preview and prediction
The match
The Thai League 1 sees BG Pathum United take on Chiangrai United on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at True BG Stadium. BG Pathum United are 7th with 12 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Chiangrai United sit 15th on 5 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
BG Pathum United's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Khon Kaen United 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Chiangrai United's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Burapha United 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for BG Pathum United and 0.7 for Chiangrai United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: BG Pathum United 64%, draw 23%, Chiangrai United 13%.
Safer route: BG Pathum United or draw (87%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was BG Pathum United to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: BG Pathum United 1–0 Chiangrai United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
BG Pathum United64%fair 1.57 · @1.57
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.50
Chiangrai United13%fair 7.58 · @4.80
2.40Expected goals
1.75BG Pathum United xG
0.65Chiangrai United xG
49%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: BG Pathum United 1.7 – 0.7 Chiangrai United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
BG Pathum United to win✓
64%
1.57
1.57
Double chance
BG Pathum United or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
BG Pathum United ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT BG Pathum United / FT BG Pathum United✓
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.31
–
Form
BG Pathum United – last 6
LDLDLD
21 Oct
@ Khon Kaen United
0–1
L
18 Oct
@ Sisaket United
1–1
D
15 Oct
vs Adelaide United
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Ayutthaya FC
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Bangkok United
2–3
L
17 Sep
@ Home United
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chiangrai United – last 6
DLLLDW
21 Oct
@ Burapha United
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Ratchaburi
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Prachuap
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Sisaket United
0–1
L
11 Sep
@ Buriram United
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Chonburi FC
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BG Pathum United and Chiangrai United.
What is the prediction for BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United?
Our pick is BG Pathum United to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United?
On our numbers BG Pathum United have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chiangrai United 13%.
How many goals will there be in BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United?
Our predicted score is BG Pathum United 1–0 Chiangrai United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United?
BG Pathum United vs Chiangrai United (Thai League 1) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at True BG Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
