Sisaket United vs BG Pathum United prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
BG Pathum United or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: BG Pathum United to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBG Pathum United to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceBG Pathum United or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.50
Sisaket United vs BG Pathum United preview and prediction
The match
Sisaket United host BG Pathum United in the Thai League 1 on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Sri Nakhon Lamduan Stadium. Sisaket United are 10th with 10 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while BG Pathum United sit 7th on 12 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sisaket United's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Chonburi FC 2–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
BG Pathum United's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Adelaide United 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.8 for Sisaket United and 1.8 for BG Pathum United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sisaket United 13%, draw 26%, BG Pathum United 61%.
Safer route: BG Pathum United or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.85.
Value angle: BG Pathum United to win at 1.85 – 61% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was BG Pathum United or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sisaket United 0–1 BG Pathum United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sisaket United13%fair 7.46 · @3.70
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.10
BG Pathum United61%fair 1.64 · @1.85
2.63Expected goals
0.78Sisaket United xG
1.85BG Pathum United xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sisaket United 0.8 – 1.8 BG Pathum United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
BG Pathum United to win✗
61%
1.64
1.85 ▲
Double chance
BG Pathum United or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
BG Pathum United ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT BG Pathum United / FT BG Pathum United✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.50
–
Form
Sisaket United – last 6
WWLLDD
11 Oct
vs Chonburi FC
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Chiangrai United
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Ayutthaya FC
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Bangkok United
1–3
L
19 Apr
@ Esan Pattaya
3–3
D
3 Apr
@ Pattani
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
BG Pathum United – last 6
LDLDWD
15 Oct
vs Adelaide United
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Ayutthaya FC
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Bangkok United
2–3
L
17 Sep
@ Home United
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Rasi Salai United
3–2
W
4 Sep
@ Pattani
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sisaket United and BG Pathum United.
What is the prediction for Sisaket United vs BG Pathum United?
Our pick is BG Pathum United or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sisaket United vs BG Pathum United?
On our numbers Sisaket United have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 26% and BG Pathum United 61%.
How many goals will there be in Sisaket United vs BG Pathum United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sisaket United vs BG Pathum United?
Our predicted score is Sisaket United 0–1 BG Pathum United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sisaket United vs BG Pathum United?
Sisaket United vs BG Pathum United (Thai League 1) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Sri Nakhon Lamduan Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
