Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
NG
Value bet: Not both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChonburi FC to win ✗62% · @1.73
Double chanceChonburi FC or draw ✗85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗32% · fair 3.16
Chonburi FC vs Rayong FC preview and prediction
The match
The Thai League 1 sees Chonburi FC take on Rayong FC on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium. Chonburi FC are 13th with 7 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Rayong FC sit 12th on 8 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Chonburi FC's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Chiangrai United 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Rayong FC's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Prachuap 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Chonburi FC 3–1 Rayong FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.0 goals: 0.9 for Chonburi FC and 0.1 for Rayong FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 92% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chonburi FC 62%, draw 23%, Rayong FC 15%.
Safer route: Chonburi FC or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (57%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Not both teams to score at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Chonburi FC or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Chonburi FC 0–0 Rayong FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chonburi FC62%fair 1.61 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.30
Rayong FC15%fair 6.57 · @4.00
1.00Expected goals
0.86Chonburi FC xG
0.14Rayong FC xG
43%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–037%
1–032%
2–014%
0–15%
1–14%
3–04%
From our goals model: Chonburi FC 0.9 – 0.1 Rayong FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chonburi FC vs Rayong FC?
Our pick is Chonburi FC or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chonburi FC vs Rayong FC?
On our numbers Chonburi FC have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rayong FC 15%.
How many goals will there be in Chonburi FC vs Rayong FC?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chonburi FC vs Rayong FC?
Our predicted score is Chonburi FC 0–0 Rayong FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Chonburi FC vs Rayong FC?
Chonburi FC vs Rayong FC (Thai League 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at IPE Chonburi Campus Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
