Double chanceBG Pathum United or draw ✓86% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗27% · fair 3.76
BG Pathum United vs Rasi Salai United preview and prediction
The match
Rasi Salai United travel to True BG Stadium in the Thai League 1 on Saturday 12 September (13:00 WAT) to face BG Pathum United. BG Pathum United are 7th with 12 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Rasi Salai United sit 16th on 1 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
BG Pathum United's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Pattani 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rasi Salai United's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Port FC 1–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Rasi Salai United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 1.2 for BG Pathum United and 0.3 for Rasi Salai United. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: BG Pathum United 64%, draw 22%, Rasi Salai United 14%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.78, so there is value in it. Predicted score: BG Pathum United 1–0 Rasi Salai United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
BG Pathum United64%fair 1.57 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @4.00
Rasi Salai United14%fair 7.09 · @7.00
1.50Expected goals
1.19BG Pathum United xG
0.31Rasi Salai United xG
44%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–027%
0–022%
2–016%
1–18%
0–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: BG Pathum United 1.2 – 0.3 Rasi Salai United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
BG Pathum United to win✓
64%
1.57
1.36
Double chance
BG Pathum United or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
55%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT BG Pathum United / FT BG Pathum United✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
27%
3.76
–
Form
BG Pathum United – last 6
DLWLWD
4 Sep
@ Pattani
0–0
D
4 Aug
vs Aston Villa
1–3
L
12 Jul
@ Roi Et
5–0
W
24 May
vs Port FC
0–1
L
10 May
vs Prachuap
3–0
W
1 May
@ Muangthong United
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rasi Salai United – last 6
LWDWWW
5 Sep
vs Port FC
1–2
L
4 Apr
@ Chiangmai United
2–1
W
21 Mar
vs Phrae United
2–2
D
15 Mar
@ Kasetsart FC
1–0
W
7 Mar
vs Khon Kaen United
2–1
W
3 Mar
vs Nakhon Pathom
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BG Pathum United and Rasi Salai United.
What is the prediction for BG Pathum United vs Rasi Salai United?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win BG Pathum United vs Rasi Salai United?
On our numbers BG Pathum United have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rasi Salai United 14%.
How many goals will there be in BG Pathum United vs Rasi Salai United?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BG Pathum United vs Rasi Salai United?
Our predicted score is BG Pathum United 1–0 Rasi Salai United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is BG Pathum United vs Rasi Salai United?
BG Pathum United vs Rasi Salai United (Thai League 1) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at True BG Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
