Pattani vs BG Pathum United preview and prediction
The match
Pattani host BG Pathum United in the Thai League 1 on Friday 4 September, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Rainbow Stadium. Pattani are 14th with 7 points from 8 games (in the bottom three), while BG Pathum United sit 7th on 12 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Pattani's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Chainat 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
BG Pathum United's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Aston Villa 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pattani arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.0 for Pattani and 1.8 for BG Pathum United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pattani 24%, draw 19%, BG Pathum United 57%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Pattani 1–1 BG Pathum United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pattani24%fair 4.20 · @3.60
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @3.45
BG Pathum United57%fair 1.76 · @1.85
2.82Expected goals
1.04Pattani xG
1.79BG Pathum United xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Pattani 1.0 – 1.8 BG Pathum United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
BG Pathum United to win✗
57%
1.76
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.40
Half-time result
BG Pathum United ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT BG Pathum United / FT BG Pathum United✗
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.42
–
Form
Pattani – last 6
WWDWLW
9 May
vs Chainat
2–1
W
2 May
@ Chainat
3–1
W
3 Apr
vs Sisaket United
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Chainat
3–2
W
18 Mar
vs Buriram United
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Mahasarakham United
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
BG Pathum United – last 6
LWLWDD
4 Aug
vs Aston Villa
1–3
L
12 Jul
@ Roi Et
5–0
W
24 May
vs Port FC
0–1
L
10 May
vs Prachuap
3–0
W
1 May
@ Muangthong United
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Port FC
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pattani and BG Pathum United.
What is the prediction for Pattani vs BG Pathum United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Pattani vs BG Pathum United?
On our numbers Pattani have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 19% and BG Pathum United 57%.
How many goals will there be in Pattani vs BG Pathum United?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pattani vs BG Pathum United?
Our predicted score is Pattani 1–1 BG Pathum United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Pattani vs BG Pathum United?
Pattani vs BG Pathum United (Thai League 1) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Rainbow Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
