Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.15
Barra vs Santa Catarina preview and prediction
The match
Santa Catarina travel to face Barra in the Copa Santa Catarina on Friday 23 October (23:00 WAT).
Form guide
Barra's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Hercílio Luz 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Santa Catarina's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Metropolitano 0–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Santa Catarina arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for Barra and 1.4 for Santa Catarina. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score in 50% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barra 44%, draw 21%, Santa Catarina 35%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.89, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Barra 2–1 Santa Catarina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barra44%fair 2.26 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.25
Santa Catarina35%fair 2.88 · @2.75
2.98Expected goals
1.60Barra xG
1.38Santa Catarina xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Barra 1.6 – 1.4 Santa Catarina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barra to win✓
44%
2.26
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barra / FT Barra✓
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.15
–
Form
Barra – last 6
LDLDDD
17 Oct
@ Hercílio Luz
0–2
L
11 Oct
vs Metropolitano
3–3
D
26 Sep
@ Joinville
1–2
L
23 Sep
vs Nação
3–3
D
15 Sep
vs Blumenau
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Figueirense
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Santa Catarina – last 6
LLLWDW
17 Oct
@ Metropolitano
0–3
L
10 Oct
vs Joinville
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs Figueirense
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Marcílio Dias
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Nação
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Blumenau
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barra and Santa Catarina.
What is the prediction for Barra vs Santa Catarina?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Barra vs Santa Catarina?
On our numbers Barra have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Santa Catarina 35%.
How many goals will there be in Barra vs Santa Catarina?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barra vs Santa Catarina?
Our predicted score is Barra 2–1 Santa Catarina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Barra vs Santa Catarina?
Barra vs Santa Catarina (Copa Santa Catarina) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
