Wednesday, 11 November 2026 15 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
2–2
FT

Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense prediction & analysis

50%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.98 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.95Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultMarcílio Dias to win ✗39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.41

Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense preview and prediction

The match

Figueirense travel to face Marcílio Dias in the Copa Santa Catarina on Friday 16 October (23:30 WAT).

Form guide

Marcílio Dias's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Nação 0–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.

Figueirense's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Hercílio Luz 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Figueirense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.8.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished Figueirense 0–1 Marcílio Dias.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Marcílio Dias and 1.4 for Figueirense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 49%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 50% chance at odds of 1.95. Predicted score: Marcílio Dias 2–1 Figueirense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Marcílio Dias39%fair 2.57 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.25
Figueirense38%fair 2.63 · @2.75
2.77Expected goals
1.39Marcílio Dias xG
1.37Figueirense xG
49%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%

From our goals model: Marcílio Dias 1.4 – 1.4 Figueirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMarcílio Dias to win ✗39%2.572.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.96–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓50%1.981.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.43–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Marcílio Dias / FT Marcílio Dias ✗22%4.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9%11.41–

Form

Marcílio Dias – last 6

DDWLWW
9 Oct@ Nação0–0D
26 Sep@ Blumenau1–1D
19 Sepvs Hercílio Luz4–2W
13 Sep@ Santa Catarina1–2L
7 Sep@ Metropolitano5–2W
30 Augvs Joinville4–2W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Figueirense – last 6

WWWWDW
10 Octvs Hercílio Luz1–0W
27 Sep@ Metropolitano1–0W
20 Sep@ Santa Catarina2–1W
12 Sepvs Nação1–0W
5 Sepvs Barra1–1D
29 Augvs Maranhão2–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026Figueirense v Marcílio Dias0–1
Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense?

On our numbers Marcílio Dias have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Figueirense 38%.

How many goals will there be in Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense?

Our predicted score is Marcílio Dias 2–1 Figueirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense?

Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense (Copa Santa Catarina) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.