Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.41
Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense preview and prediction
The match
Figueirense travel to face Marcílio Dias in the Copa Santa Catarina on Friday 16 October (23:30 WAT).
Form guide
Marcílio Dias's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Nação 0–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Figueirense's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Hercílio Luz 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Figueirense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished Figueirense 0–1 Marcílio Dias.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Marcílio Dias and 1.4 for Figueirense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Marcílio Dias 39%, draw 23%, Figueirense 38%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 50% chance at odds of 1.95. Predicted score: Marcílio Dias 2–1 Figueirense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marcílio Dias39%fair 2.57 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.25
Figueirense38%fair 2.63 · @2.75
2.77Expected goals
1.39Marcílio Dias xG
1.37Figueirense xG
49%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Marcílio Dias 1.4 – 1.4 Figueirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense?
On our numbers Marcílio Dias have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Figueirense 38%.
How many goals will there be in Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense?
Our predicted score is Marcílio Dias 2–1 Figueirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense?
Marcílio Dias vs Figueirense (Copa Santa Catarina) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.