Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57% · @2.05
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.78
Santa Catarina vs Marcílio Dias preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Santa Catarina sees Santa Catarina take on Marcílio Dias on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Alfredo Joao Krieck.
Form guide
Santa Catarina's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Nação 2–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Marcílio Dias's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Metropolitano 5–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.8 for Santa Catarina and 1.7 for Marcílio Dias. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santa Catarina 42%, draw 23%, Marcílio Dias 35%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.75, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Santa Catarina 2–1 Marcílio Dias. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santa Catarina42%fair 2.36 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
Marcílio Dias35%fair 2.88 · @2.80
3.51Expected goals
1.85Santa Catarina xG
1.66Marcílio Dias xG
56%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
3–15%
From our goals model: Santa Catarina 1.8 – 1.7 Marcílio Dias expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Catarina to win✓
42%
2.36
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Catarina / FT Santa Catarina✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
11.78
–
Form
Santa Catarina – last 6
DWDDWW
6 Sep
@ Nação
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Blumenau
1–0
W
27 Jun
vs Sao Jose
1–1
D
21 Jun
@ Sao Jose
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs Cascavel
1–0
W
31 May
@ Cianorte
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Marcílio Dias – last 6
WWLDWD
7 Sep
@ Metropolitano
5–2
W
30 Aug
vs Joinville
4–2
W
11 Jul
@ Portuguesa
0–2
L
4 Jul
vs Portuguesa
1–1
D
28 Jun
vs Cascavel
2–1
W
21 Jun
@ Cascavel
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santa Catarina and Marcílio Dias.
What is the prediction for Santa Catarina vs Marcílio Dias?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Santa Catarina vs Marcílio Dias?
On our numbers Santa Catarina have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Marcílio Dias 35%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Catarina vs Marcílio Dias?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Catarina vs Marcílio Dias?
Our predicted score is Santa Catarina 2–1 Marcílio Dias, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Santa Catarina vs Marcílio Dias?
Santa Catarina vs Marcílio Dias (Copa Santa Catarina) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Alfredo Joao Krieck.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
