Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.18
Marcílio Dias vs Joinville preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Santa Catarina sees Marcílio Dias take on Joinville on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Marcílio Dias's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to Portuguesa 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Joinville's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to São Luiz 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 March 2026, finished Marcílio Dias 2–0 Joinville.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Marcílio Dias and 0.9 for Joinville. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Marcílio Dias 58%, draw 23%, Joinville 19%.
Safer route: Marcílio Dias or draw (81%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Marcílio Dias to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Marcílio Dias 1–0 Joinville. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marcílio Dias58%fair 1.73 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.60
Joinville19%fair 5.29 · @4.10
2.67Expected goals
1.77Marcílio Dias xG
0.90Joinville xG
48%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Marcílio Dias 1.8 – 0.9 Joinville expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Marcílio Dias vs Joinville?
Our pick is Marcílio Dias to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Marcílio Dias vs Joinville?
On our numbers Marcílio Dias have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Joinville 19%.
How many goals will there be in Marcílio Dias vs Joinville?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marcílio Dias vs Joinville?
Our predicted score is Marcílio Dias 1–0 Joinville, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Marcílio Dias vs Joinville?
Marcílio Dias vs Joinville (Copa Santa Catarina) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
