Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.49
Barra vs Nação preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Santa Catarina sees Barra take on Nação on Wednesday 23 September, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Barra's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Blumenau 2–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Nação's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Joinville 0–4 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.2 for Barra and 0.7 for Nação. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 43%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barra 70%, draw 20%, Nação 10%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Barra to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Barra 2–0 Nação. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barra70%fair 1.42 · @1.33
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @4.50
Nação10%fair 10.18 · @7.00
2.86Expected goals
2.16Barra xG
0.70Nação xG
43%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Barra 2.2 – 0.7 Nação expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barra to win✗
70%
1.42
1.33
Double chance
Barra or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Barra ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barra / FT Barra✗
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.49
–
Form
Barra – last 6
DDWLWL
15 Sep
vs Blumenau
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Figueirense
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Volta Redonda
2–0
W
23 Aug
@ Maringá
1–2
L
16 Aug
vs AO Itabaiana
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Ituano
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nação – last 6
LLDLWD
19 Sep
vs Joinville
0–4
L
12 Sep
@ Figueirense
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Santa Catarina
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Hercílio Luz
1–2
L
22 Jul
@ Blumenau
2–0
W
18 Jul
vs Caravaggio
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barra and Nação.
Our pick is Barra to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Barra vs Nação?
On our numbers Barra have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nação 10%.
How many goals will there be in Barra vs Nação?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barra vs Nação?
Our predicted score is Barra 2–0 Nação, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Barra vs Nação?
Barra vs Nação (Copa Santa Catarina) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
