Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl-Gharafa to win ✓58% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.36
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC preview and prediction
The match
The Stars League sees Al-Gharafa take on Qatar SC on Friday 30 October, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Qatar Sports Club Stadium. Al-Gharafa are 10th with 9 points from 9 games (in the bottom three), while Qatar SC sit 11th on 6 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Al-Gharafa's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Al-Ahli Jeddah 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Qatar SC's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Al Riffa 1–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 March 2026, finished Qatar SC 2–0 Al-Gharafa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for Al-Gharafa and 1.2 for Qatar SC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Al-Gharafa to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.72, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al-Gharafa 2–1 Qatar SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Gharafa58%fair 1.72 · @1.91
Draw18%fair 5.54 · @3.90
Qatar SC24%fair 4.21 · @3.00
3.29Expected goals
2.06Al-Gharafa xG
1.23Qatar SC xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Al-Gharafa 2.1 – 1.2 Qatar SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC?
Our pick is Al-Gharafa to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC?
On our numbers Al-Gharafa have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Qatar SC 24%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC?
Our predicted score is Al-Gharafa 2–1 Qatar SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC?
Al-Gharafa vs Qatar SC (Stars League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Qatar Sports Club Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
