Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Shamal to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Lusail City vs Al Shamal preview and prediction
The match
Lusail City host Al Shamal in the Stars League on Friday 16 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Lusail Stadium. Lusail City are 5th with 12 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Al Shamal sit 6th on 12 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lusail City's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Al Shahaniya 0–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Shamal's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Tractor Sazi 0–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.2 for Lusail City and 2.0 for Al Shamal. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lusail City 24%, draw 16%, Al Shamal 60%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Shamal to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lusail City 1–2 Al Shamal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lusail City24%fair 4.23 · @3.40
Draw16%fair 6.29 · @3.50
Al Shamal60%fair 1.65 · @1.85
3.20Expected goals
1.16Lusail City xG
2.04Al Shamal xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Lusail City 1.2 – 2.0 Al Shamal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Shamal to win✗
60%
1.65
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Al Shamal ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Shamal / FT Al Shamal✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.16
–
Form
Lusail City – last 6
LDWDWD
10 Oct
@ Al Shahaniya
0–1
L
29 Sep
@ Al Waab
1–1
D
21 Sep
vs Al-Markhiya
1–0
W
11 Sep
@ Al-Gharafa
0–0
D
4 Sep
vs Al Wakrah
4–0
W
28 Aug
@ Al Ahli Doha
3–3
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Al Shamal – last 6
DLWWDD
12 Oct
@ Tractor Sazi
0–0
D
8 Oct
vs Al-Duhail SC
0–4
L
1 Oct
vs Muaither SC
2–1
W
22 Sep
@ Al Bidda SC
4–0
W
14 Sep
vs Al-Ittihad FC
1–1
D
10 Sep
vs Al Wakrah
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lusail City and Al Shamal.
What is the prediction for Lusail City vs Al Shamal?
Our pick is Al Shamal to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Lusail City vs Al Shamal?
On our numbers Lusail City have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Al Shamal 60%.
How many goals will there be in Lusail City vs Al Shamal?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lusail City vs Al Shamal?
Our predicted score is Lusail City 1–2 Al Shamal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Lusail City vs Al Shamal?
Lusail City vs Al Shamal (Stars League) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Lusail Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
