Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.35 – our chance 51% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultQatar SC to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.74
Al Ahli Doha vs Qatar SC preview and prediction
The match
Al Ahli Doha host Qatar SC in the Stars League on Thursday 3 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium. Al Ahli Doha are 7th with 12 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Qatar SC sit 11th on 6 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Al Ahli Doha's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Lusail City 3–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Qatar SC's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Al Sadd 2–6 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 2.1 for Al Ahli Doha and 2.2 for Qatar SC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 71% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Ahli Doha 38%, draw 21%, Qatar SC 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Over 3.5 goals at 2.35 – 51% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.41, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al Ahli Doha 2–2 Qatar SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Ahli Doha38%fair 2.63 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.65
Qatar SC40%fair 2.47 · @2.70
4.33Expected goals
2.13Al Ahli Doha xG
2.20Qatar SC xG
67%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
1–27%
2–17%
1–16%
2–35%
3–25%
From our goals model: Al Ahli Doha 2.1 – 2.2 Qatar SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Qatar SC to win✗
40%
2.47
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.48
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.53 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
2.35 ▲
Half-time result
Qatar SC ahead at half-time✗
35%
2.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Qatar SC / FT Qatar SC✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.74
–
Form
Al Ahli Doha – last 6
DLDLWL
28 Aug
vs Lusail City
3–3
D
22 Aug
@ Al Sadd
1–3
L
3 Aug
@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3–3
D
30 Jul
@ Al Shabab
0–3
L
27 Apr
@ UMM Salal
3–1
W
22 Apr
@ Al-Nassr
1–5
L
1.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Qatar SC – last 6
LDLWDL
28 Aug
vs Al Sadd
2–6
L
20 Aug
@ Al Wakrah
2–2
D
27 Apr
vs Al-Duhail SC
1–2
L
13 Apr
@ Al Shamal
2–0
W
8 Apr
@ Al-Arabi SC
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Al Wakrah
1–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Ahli Doha and Qatar SC.
What is the prediction for Al Ahli Doha vs Qatar SC?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Al Ahli Doha vs Qatar SC?
On our numbers Al Ahli Doha have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Qatar SC 40%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ahli Doha vs Qatar SC?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ahli Doha vs Qatar SC?
Our predicted score is Al Ahli Doha 2–2 Qatar SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Al Ahli Doha vs Qatar SC?
Al Ahli Doha vs Qatar SC (Stars League) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
